Prognosis of patients with extreme acidosis on admission to the emergency department: A retrospective cohort study.

AIM OF THE STUDY: The development of acidosis in critically ill patients is considered to be a negative prognostic factor, and when extreme, even incompatible with life. We aimed to test the prognosis of patients with a pH lower than 6.9 on emergency department admission. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study in adult patients admitted to two emergency departments with a pH < 6.9 during the first 12 h of admission. Primary outcome was mortality within 24 h from emergency department admission. We performed a regression analysis of clinical and laboratory data in order to identify factors associated with mortality in this population. RESULTS: We analyzed data of 206 admissions to the emergency departments between 2008 and 2018 with extreme acidosis. pH Values ranged from 6.898 to 6.35 (mean 6.8 and median 6.83). 60 (29%) of the patients survived the first 24 h. 35 patients (58%) of those also survived to hospital discharge, and of them 80% have returned to their previous functional status. Patient's age, type of acidosis, cardio-pulmonary resuscitation on arrival, and diagnosis on admission were correlated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: A small but significant portion of patients with extreme acidosis on emergency department admission survive at least to 24 h and until hospital discharge. The clinical decision making should be based on other prognostic factors rather than pH value by itself.

Elevated thrombin generation levels in the left atrial appendage in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Background: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained tachi-arrhythmia. Thrombus formation in the left atrial appendage (LAA) increases the risk of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with AF. Objectives: The aim of this study was to compare thrombin generation in the LAA to the LA among patients with AF. Methods: A cross-sectional study of consecutive patients with AF undergoing pulmonary veins catheter ablation. Blood samples from the femoral vein (FV), right atrium (RA), left atrium (LA), and LAA were collected during the catheter ablation procedures. Thrombin generation was assessed by a Calibrated Automated Thrombogram. The LAA-calibrated automated thrombogram parameters were compared with the RA, LA, and FV. Results: A total of 47 consecutive patients were enrolled in the study. The endogenous thrombin potential and peak height were significantly higher in the LAA compared with the LA, the mean differences and 95% CI between the LA and LAA were -378.9 (-680.5, -77.2) (nM∗min) and -66.7 (-119.6, -13.8) (nM) in the endogenous thrombin potential and peak height respectively. Conclusion: In patients with AF undergoing catheter ablation, the LAA demonstrated increased thrombin generation compared with the LA. This finding might contribute to the understanding of why the LAA is more predisposed to thrombus formation than the LA. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT03795883.

Underrepresentation of women in randomized controlled trials: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although regulatory changes towards correcting the underrepresentation of women in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) occurred (National Institutes of Health 1994), concerns exist about whether an improvement is taking place. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to assess the inclusion rates of women in recent RCTs and to explore the potential barriers for the enrollment of women. METHODS: RCTs published in 2017 examining any type of intervention in adults were searched in PubMed and Cochrane Library. The following predefined medical fields were included: cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, endocrine system diseases, respiratory tract diseases, bacterial and fungal infections, viral diseases, digestive system diseases, and immune system diseases. Studies were screened independently by two reviewers, and an equal number of studies was randomly selected per calendric month. The primary outcome was the enrollment rate of women, calculated as the number of randomized women patients divided by the total number of randomized patients. Rates were weighted by their inverse variance; statistical significance was tested using general linear models (GLM). RESULTS: Out of 398 RCTs assessed for eligibility, 300 RCTs were included. The enrollment rate of women in all the examined fields was lower than 50%, except for immune system diseases [median enrollment rate of 68% (IQR 46 to 81)]. The overall median enrollment rate of women was 41% (IQR 27 to 54). The median enrollment rate of women decreased with older age of the trials' participants [mean age of trials' participants ≤ 45 years: 47% (IQR 30-64), 46-55 years: 46% (IQR 33-58), 56-62 years: 38% (IQR 27-50), ≥ 63 years: 33% (IQR 20-46), p < 0.001]. Methodological quality characteristics showed no significant association with the enrollment rates of women. Out of the 300 included RCTs, eleven did not report on the number of included women. There was no significant difference between these studies and the studies included in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Women are being inadequately represented, in the selected medical fields analyzed in our study, in recent RCTs. Older age is a potential barrier for the enrollment of women in clinical trials. Low inclusion rates of elderly women might create a lack of crucial knowledge in the adverse effects and the benefit/risk profile of any given treatment. Factors that might hinder the participation of women should be sought and addressed in the design of the study.

Predicting In-Hospital Antibiotic Use in the Medical Department: Derivation and Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: The rise of multi-drug-resistant pathogens and nosocomial infections among hospitalized patients is partially attributed to the increased use of antibiotic therapy. A prediction model for in-hospital antibiotic treatment could be valuable to target preventive strategies. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study, including patients admitted in 2018 to medical departments and not treated with antibiotics during the first 48 h. Data available at hospital admission were used to develop a logistic model to predict the probability of antibiotic treatment during hospitalization. The performance of the model was evaluated in two independent validation cohorts. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, antibiotic treatment was initiated in 454 (8.1%) out of 5592 included patients. Male gender, lower functional capacity, prophylactic antibiotic treatment, medical history of atrial fibrillation, peripheral vascular disease, solid organ transplantation, chronic use of a central venous catheter, urinary catheter and nasogastric tube, albumin level, mental status and vital signs at presentation were identified as predictors for antibiotic use during hospitalization and were included in the prediction model. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.72 (95% CI 0.70-0.75). In the highest probability group, the percentage of antibiotic treatment was 18.2% (238/1,307). In the validation cohorts, the AUROC was 0.73 (95% CI 0.68-0.77) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78). In the highest probability group, the percentage of antibiotic treatment was 12.5% (66/526) and 20.7% (244/1179) of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our prediction model performed well in the validation cohorts and was able to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk for antibiotic treatment.

Inadequate reporting of participants eligible for randomized controlled trials - A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: to characterize randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that did not report the overall number of participants assessed for eligibility and to identify factors associated with higher enrollment rates. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs in several pre-defined fields in internal medicine. We randomly extracted 360 articles that were published in 2017. Trials that reported numbers of assessed for eligibility patients were compared with those who did not. Recruitment rates were calculated in order to investigate whether they were associated with trial characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 360 RCTs were included. Only 2-thirds of the trials (242/360) reported the number of patients assessed for eligibility. Trials reporting eligibility data had better methodology, reported on the tested hypothesis, included a placebo arm, evaluated soft outcomes, published their findings in higher impact journals and recruited a higher number of randomized patients than those who did not. Recruitment rates in 225 (62.5%) trials enabling their calculation, were significantly higher in trials sponsored by industry, conducted in multiple centers and countries, including inpatients, tested non-inferiority hypothesis, included a placebo arm, and evaluated surrogate outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Reporting of participant eligibility continues to be scarce. Inadequate reporting was associated with poor methodological characteristics in trials.

Predictors of Readmission Following Discharge of Patients With Gram-Negative Bacteremia: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Short-term readmission is an important outcome reflecting the poor trajectory of sepsis survivors. The aim of this study was to identify the major risk factors for 30-day readmission among patients with gram-negative bacteremia. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study including all consecutive adults hospitalized in the medical departments in a referral hospital in Israel with gram-negative bacteremia between 2011 and 2020, who were discharged alive. Predictors for 30-day readmission were investigated, considering death after discharge as a competing event. Cephalosporin resistance was our predictor of interest. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) of the cumulative incidence function were investigated using the Fine and Gray multivariable competing-risk regression model. The prediction models were cross-validated using the k-fold method. RESULTS: Among 2196 patients surviving hospitalization with gram-negative bacteremia, the mean age was 70 ± 16 years and 432 (19.6%) were readmitted within 30 days. Variables associated with readmission hazards were Arab ethnicity, active malignancy, conditions requiring immunosuppression, anxiolytics or hypnotics, anticoagulant or antiplatelet therapy, discharge with a nasogastric tube, higher predischarge heart rate, duration of antibiotic therapy during hospitalization, and bacteremia caused by cephalosporin-resistant bacteria (HR, 1.23 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .99-1.52]). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for this model was 75.5% (95% CI, 71.3%-79.1%). In secondary models, cephalosporin resistance, inappropriate empirical antibiotic treatment, and lower predischarge albumin were significantly associated with readmission. CONCLUSIONS: Thirty-day readmissions among patients with gram-negative bacteremia surviving the index admission were high. Readmission was related to comorbidities and infections caused by multidrug-resistant infections.Main point: Among 2196 adults surviving hospitalization with gram-negative bacteremia, 432 (19.6%) were rehospitalized within 30 days. Comorbidities, inappropriate empirical antibiotic treatment, bacteremia caused by cephalosporin-resistant bacteria, predischarge heart rate, and albumin were associated with readmissions.

Community-acquired versus nosocomial Legionella pneumonia: factors associated with Legionella-related mortality.

Over the past decade, changes in the diagnosis and management of Legionella pneumonia occurred and risk factors for severe infection and increased mortality were identified. Previous reports found that nosocomial infection is associated with higher mortality while others showed no differences. We aimed to evaluate the differences in the clinical course and mortality rates between hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) caused by Legionella pneumophila. A retrospective cohort study of patients admitted due to Legionella pneumonia between January 2012 through November 2019 was conducted in a tertiary referral center (Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel). The primary outcome was 30-day Legionella pneumonia-related mortality. A multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine whether a nosocomial infection is an independent predictor of mortality. One hundred nine patients were included. Seventy (64.2%) had CAP and 39 (35.8%) had HAP. The groups were comparable regarding age, gender, and comorbidities. Time to diagnosis was longer and the number of patients receiving initial empiric anti-Legionella spp. treatment was smaller in the HAP group (8 days [IQR 5.5-12.5] vs. 5 days [IQR 3-8], p < 0.001 and 65.5% vs. 78.6%, p = 0.003, respectively). Patients with HAP had higher 30-day mortality, 41% vs. 18.6%, p = 0.02. In a multivariable logistic regression model, only pneumonia severity index and nosocomial source were independently associated with increased mortality. HAP caused by Legionella spp. is independently associated with increased mortality when compared to CAP caused by the same pathogen. The possible reasons for this increased mortality include late diagnosis and delayed initiation of appropriate treatment.

Predicting hypoglycemia in hospitalized patients with diabetes: A derivation and validation study.

AIMS: Develop and validate a model for predicting hypoglycemia in inpatients. METHODS: Derivation cohort: patients treated with hypoglycemic drugs and admitted to the departments of medicine of a university hospital during 2016. VALIDATION: patients admitted to a community hospital, and patients admitted to a university hospital in the north of Israel, 2017-2018. Data available in the electronic patient record (EPR) during the first hours of hospital stay were used to develop a logistic model to predict the probability of hypoglycemia. The performance of the model was measured in the validation cohorts. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, hypoglycemia was measured in 474 out of 3605 patients, 13.1%. The logistic model to predict hypoglycemia included age, nasogastric or percutaneous gastrostomy tube, Charlson score, vomiting, chest pain, acute renal failure, insulin, hemoglobin and diastolic blood pressure. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.71 (95% CI 0.69-0.73). In the highest probability group the percentage of hypoglycemia was 24.3% (258/1061). In the two validation groups hypoglycemia was measured in 269/2592 patients (11.1%); and 393/3635 (10.8%). AUROC was 0.72 (95% CI 0.68-0.76); and 0.71 (95% CI 0.68-0.74). In the highest probability groups hypoglycemia was measured in 28.1% (111/395); and 23.0% (211/909) of patients. CONCLUSIONS: The derived model performed well in the validation cohorts. Assuming that most of the hypoglycemia episodes could be prevented we would need to invest efforts to avoid hypoglycemia in 4-5 patients to prevent one episode of hypoglycemia.

SOFA score and short-term mortality in acute decompensated heart failure.

Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is one of the leading causes for hospitalization and mortality. Identifying high risk patients is essential to ensure proper management. Sequential Organ Function Assessment Score (SOFA) is considered an excellent score to predict short-term mortality in sepsis and other life-threatening conditions. To assess the capability of SOFA score in predicting short-term mortality in ADHF. We retrospectively identified patients with first hospitalization with primary diagnosis of ADHF between the years (2008-2018). The SOFA score was calculated for all patients. A total 3232 patients were included in the study. The SOFA score was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality. The odds ratios for 1-point increase in the SOFA score were 1.86 (95% CI 1.68-1.96) and 1.627 (95% CI 1.523-1.737) respectively. The SOFA Score demonstrated a good predictive accuracy. The areas under the curve of receiver operating characteristic curves for in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality were 0.765 (95% CI 0.733-0.798) and 0.706 (95% CI 0.676-0.736) respectively. SOFA score is associated with increased risk of short-term mortality in ADHF. SOFA can be used as a complementary risk score to screen high risk patients who need strict monitoring.

Appetite and ghrelin levels in iron deficiency anemia and the effect of parenteral iron therapy: A longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency anemia (IDA) is associated with decreased appetite. The ghrelin hormone is one of the major regulators of appetite. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate appetite and ghrelin levels in patients with IDA, and to investigate the change in appetite and ghrelin following intravenous iron therapy. METHODS: A total of 56 IDA patients and 51 controls were included in the study. Both appetite and ghrelin were assessed at baseline and following intravenous iron therapy. These were assessed at corresponding time intervals in the control group. Appetite was assessed by the SNAQ score (Simplified Nutritional Appetite Questionnaire) and fasting ghrelin levels were assessed by acylated ghrelin (AG), unacylated ghrelin (UAG) and their respective ratio AG/UAG. RESULTS: IDA patients had significantly lower SNAQ scores, yet higher AG levels and higher AG/UAG ratios compared to healthy controls; the mean SNAQ scores were 12.56 ± 3.45 and 16.1 ± 2, respectively (P<0.01); the median AG levels were 57.5 pg/ml and 43 pg/ml respectively (P = 0.007); and the median AG/UAG ratios were 0.48 and 0.25 respectively (P = 0.04). On multivariate linear regression analysis, IDA remained independently associated with decreased SNAQ score (ß = -0.524, P<0.001) and increased acylated ghrelin (ß = 0.289, P = 0.013). After IDA was treated, SNAQ scores increased significantly by a mean of 2 points. AG and AG/UAG ratios decreased significantly by a mean of -18.44 pg/ml and -0.2 respectively. The control group showed no significant change in SNAQ scores or ghrelin at corresponding time intervals. CONCLUSIONS: IDA patients have a reduced appetite and paradoxically elevated ghrelin hormone activity compared to healthy controls. Treating IDA enhances appetite and lowers ghrelin levels. Future studies are needed to explore the mechanism of this paradoxical ghrelin activity.

Intravenous iron treatment reduces coagulability in patients with iron deficiency anaemia: a longitudinal study.

Although many case reports and observational studies have reported a correlation between iron deficiency anaemia (IDA) and thrombotic events, the mechanism for this is poorly understood. To evaluate this, we examined the change in coagulability in patients receiving treatment for IDA. Adult patients with IDA were recruited for this study and treated with intravenous iron. The change in coagulability was assessed by thrombin generation using the calibrated automated thrombogram method. The change in factor VIII (FVIII) activity was later examined as a possible link. Forty-eight participants received intravenous iron and were included in this study. After treatment with intravenous iron, endogenous thrombin potential and peak height decreased in IDA patients by a mean of 122·4 nmol/l/min (95% confidence interval [CI]: 17·9-227, P = 0·023) and 51·9 (95% CI: 26·6-77·2, P < 0·001) respectively. Time to peak (peak time) increased by a mean of 23·6 s (95% CI: 5·4-41·9, P = 0·012). FVIII activity was reduced by a mean of 9·6% (95% CI: 2·54-16·7, P = 0·009). In conclusion, treating IDA reduces the blood's coagulability, as evidenced by the change in thrombin generation and FVIII activity levels. No correlation was found between the degree of iron deficiency correction and thrombogram parameters.